2027 French presidential election polls, Digi Mart USA News (France): Opinion polls are multiplying as the French presidential election approaches. 20 Minutes has compiled voting intentions measured since February 2026 by three major polling firms: Ifop, Harris Interactive and OpinionWay. Below are first-round voting intentions, followed by three possible second-round scenarios: Marine Le Pen against Édouard Philippe, Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Raphaël Glucksmann.
In the most recent Ifop wave, with fieldwork closed on October 29, Marine Le Pen recorded 35 percent of voting intentions, one point more than in the October 19 survey. Jean-Luc Mélenchon obtained 18 percent, up from 15 percent ten days earlier.
Raphaël Glucksmann received 10 percent and Édouard Philippe 9.5 percent, compared with 12 percent on October 19. Following them were David Lisnard at 7 percent, Gabriel Attal at 5 percent, Éric Zemmour at 4.5 percent and Bruno Retailleau at 4 percent.
OpinionWay measured the same order of finish in its October 22 survey. The National Rally candidate reached 36 percent, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 16 percent, Raphaël Glucksmann at 13 percent and Édouard Philippe at 12 percent.
David Lisnard and Bruno Retailleau were tied at 6 percent.
Harris Interactive is the only one of the three firms to place Édouard Philippe ahead of Raphaël Glucksmann. In its October 21 wave, Marine Le Pen received 33 percent, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17 percent and the former prime minister 15 percent.
Raphaël Glucksmann followed with 12 percent, then David Lisnard at 7 percent, Éric Zemmour at 5 percent and Bruno Retailleau at 4 percent.
In the second-round Le Pen versus Philippe matchup, the gap has widened across all three firms. In early July, this was the closest of the three duels.
All three firms now show Marine Le Pen winning with 56 to 57 percent of the vote. At Ifop, she rose from 52 percent at the end of August to 56 percent on October 19.
At Harris Interactive, she rose from 51 percent in early July to 57 percent on October 21. OpinionWay credited her with 56 percent in its last two surveys, on October 14 and 22.
In the second-round Le Pen versus Mélenchon scenario, none of the three firms has given the La France insoumise leader more than 34 percent since late May. The latest surveys give Marine Le Pen between 68 and 70 percent of the vote.
She received 70 percent at Harris Interactive on October 21, 69 percent at OpinionWay on October 22 and 68 percent at Ifop on October 19.
The Le Pen versus Glucksmann matchup has been tested five times by these three firms since the end of summer, with the European lawmaker receiving between 41 and 45 percent of the vote. Ifop projects Marine Le Pen winning with 57 percent on October 19, compared with 55 percent at the end of August.
OpinionWay measured 56 percent in its two October surveys. Harris Interactive, which asked the question only once, on October 21, gave the widest margin: 59 percent to 41 percent.
Data source: Commission des sondages and polling institutes, via Sondax, based on Wikipedia.
