New Atlantic depression forecast to bring rain and Mediterranean episode to France, Digi Mart USA News: Rain is expected to return to France from next week, with a risk of another Mediterranean episode, according to a report from Econostrum.info.
A new deterioration in the weather is taking shape for the week of November 9, with sometimes sustained rainfall and a risk of a new Mediterranean episode. An Atlantic depression could be behind the change.
The coming days already look difficult in the southeast of the country. A Mediterranean episode is currently affecting several departments, with heavy precipitation and a risk of flooding.
However, this disturbance may not be the last of the month of November.
The anticyclonic block that currently maintains cold and relatively dry weather over much of the northern half of the country is expected to gradually weaken. A depression located northwest of the Azores could deepen over the next 36 to 48 hours before moving closer to the Iberian Peninsula and France from Monday, November 9.
According to forecasts cited by meteorologist and oceanographer Yann Amice on Actu.fr, this depression could reach a central pressure below 985 hectopascals off Portugal. It could be named Bruna if the naming conditions are met.
That name appears on the official list of storm names for the 2026-2027 season, established by the meteorological services of the Sud-Ouest group, of which France is a part.
However, the presence of such a deep depression does not automatically mean France will experience a storm. The scenario mainly concerns the return of a disturbed atmospheric circulation and frequent precipitation.
Météo-France also confirms that Bruna appears on the official list of names for the season.
The phenomenon to watch is an atmospheric river, a long corridor of air loaded with moisture that carries large amounts of water vapor from tropical regions toward temperate latitudes. Crossing the Atlantic, this humid air mass could feed precipitation over Portugal and Spain before moving north toward France and shifting into the Mediterranean around Tuesday, November 10 and Wednesday, November 11.
According to Yann Amice, “these rains, sometimes heavy, should also affect the north and east of France next week.”
The southeast could be particularly exposed, with a new Mediterranean episode to monitor. The northern and eastern regions would not necessarily be spared.
Forecasters point to frequent rainy spells for much of the week of November 9 to 15, although their exact distribution remains to be specified.
This change in atmospheric circulation should also affect temperatures. While the northern half currently experiences values below seasonal norms, a milder air mass is expected to gradually move back up from the southwest starting the weekend of November 7 and 8.
The meeting between this humid, milder air and the cold air masses still present across the country could favor the formation of new precipitation. Next week could thus take on a more autumnal atmosphere, with repeated rainy spells.
This change comes as the southeast already faces a significant Mediterranean episode. According to Météo-France, expected totals on Wednesday, November 4 generally reach 30 to 50 mm from Roussillon to Provence, with locally 70 to 100 mm on the coast of Hérault and Gard.
For Thursday, November 5, precipitation could still reach 50 to 70 mm, with locally 150 mm in Hérault and Gard. In eastern Corsica, totals could exceed 200 mm over the day and reach 300 mm across the whole episode.
These quantities could cause flooding, particularly on soils already weakened by previous rains.
