Subzero temperatures in Mexico forecast for November 11-15, 2026, Digi Mart USA News (Mexico): Minimum temperatures in Mexico will change markedly over the course of the week, according to Notice 314 from the National Meteorological Service. The notice details how far the thermometer will drop in each region between the early morning of Wednesday, November 11, and the early morning of Sunday, November 15.
The number of states with minimum temperatures below five degrees Celsius rises from 10 on the first of those mornings to 19 on the last. The largest jump occurs between Friday and Saturday, when the count increases from 13 to 18.
The cold is driven by a cold air mass associated with a new cold front approaching the northeast, which is expected to cause temperatures to fall in states across the north, northeast, east and center of the country between Thursday and Friday.
The mountainous areas of Chihuahua and Durango appear in the minus 5 to 0 degree range every morning of the period. Baja California joins them starting early Thursday, November 12.
On Sunday, five states are expected to wake up below zero. In addition to Baja California, Chihuahua and Durango, the mountainous zones of Zacatecas and the State of Mexico are expected to join, after having been in the 0 to 5 degree range through Saturday.
It is the only morning of the period in which the subzero group exceeds three states. It is also the first time a central state enters that range within this notice.
Mexico City appears in the cold forecast on Sunday, November 15, when it is listed in the 0 to 5 degree range, and it does not appear in any of the other minimum temperature lists in the notice. Accompanying it in that range are Sonora, Coahuila, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Jalisco, Guanajuato, Michoacán, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, Puebla, Veracruz and Oaxaca, all in their mountainous zones.
The increase in cold is uneven day to day. The count of states with minimums below five degrees first declines and then rises sharply:
Wednesday morning: 10 states, 2 of them below zero. Thursday morning: 8 states, 3 below zero.
Friday morning: 13 states, 3 below zero. Saturday morning: 18 states, 3 below zero.
Sunday morning: 19 states, 5 below zero.
The Thursday decline is explained by the list itself: on that day Veracruz and Oaxaca leave the 0 to 5 degree range, returning Friday along with Coahuila, Nuevo León and Hidalgo. By Saturday, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Jalisco, Guanajuato and Michoacán are added.
The notice warns that fog banks associated with these conditions may reduce visibility on some highway stretches.
